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Pop Culture
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
940 - 950m
64%
implied YES probability
-4.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 21 days ·
High 76% ·
Low 22%
· 7d +136.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
-
What Details Didn’t Make It Into ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’
Forbes Business · 2h ago
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