What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Closes Aug 02, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $431 Open interest $89.1K Event UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)

implied YES probability

-54.4pp 24h

Price history

Not enough price history yet.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Dennis Buzukja" if Dennis Buzukja is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bogdan Grad at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Bogdan Grad" if Bogdan Grad is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.