What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

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Will Bogdan Grad win by KO or TKO?

Grad to win by KO/TKO?

Closes Aug 02, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $836 Open interest $89.1K Event UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)

implied YES probability

-16.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 14 days · High 50% · Low 18% · 7d -57.1pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Dennis Buzukja" if Dennis Buzukja is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bogdan Grad at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Bogdan Grad" if Bogdan Grad is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.