What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Finance

↑ $785

Closes Sep 18, 2026 (2d) 24h volume $305 Open interest $15.0K Event What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 14 2026?

5%

implied YES probability

-2.5pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 50% · Low 5%

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 14 2026?

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.