What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 30, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

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Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Manchester City

Closes May 30, 2027 (279d) 24h volume $77.5K Open interest $1.8M Event EPL: 2027 Champion

20%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 54 days · High 35% · Low 18% · 7d -23.5pp · 30d -33.9pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for Manchester City winning the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship currently indicates a 30% probability, with a YES price of 0.29. This assessment is informed by known facts about the team's performance in recent seasons and their current squad composition. The market is asking whether Manchester City will emerge as champions at the end of the 2026-27 EPL season. A change in the team's manager or key player injuries could potentially impact the price, causing it to move up if such an event were to occur, or down if it did not materialize. Conversely, a strong performance by Manchester City throughout the season would likely drive the YES price higher, while a poor showing could lead to a decrease in the probability of them winning the championship.

Generated Jul 21, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.