What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 86%, implying a 86% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Pop Culture

Successful splash down?

Closes Jul 01, 2027 (287d) 24h volume $37 Open interest $462.9K Event SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

86%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 48 days · High 86% · Low 26% · 7d +3.0pp · 30d +17.7pp

This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.