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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

September 30
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $6.3K Open interest $304.4K Event Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
18%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 8 days · High 39% · Low 14% · 7d -55.1pp
39%14%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

December 31
34% YES
24h vol $3.0K
June 30
2% YES
24h vol $1.4K

Recent news mentioning this market

Related stocks

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.