Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noOdds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
7| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 66% | — | $2K | $174K |
| June 30, 2027 | 55% | +4.0 | $1K | $174K |
| February 28, 2027 | 36% | +1.0 | $4K | $174K |
| January 31, 2027 | 28% | +5.0 | $1K | $174K |
| December 31, 2026 | 18% | -2.5 | $2K | $174K |
| September 30, 2026 | 0% | — | $0 | $174K |
| June 30 | 0% | — | $0 | $174K |
How it settles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.