Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The prediction market for Jumanji 3 being the top-grossing movie of 2026 currently indicates a 1% probability that this will be the case. The current price is 0.01, suggesting that the majority of participants do not believe Jumanji 3 will achieve this level of success. Known facts informing the current price include the generally strong performance of the Jumanji franchise and the popularity of sequels in general. However, the market also takes into account the competitive nature of the film industry, with many other movies vying for attention and box office revenue. Any significant changes to these factors, such as a major shift in the franchise's creative direction or a notable increase in competition from other films, could potentially impact the price of this prediction market.