Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The prediction market for Michael being the top-grossing movie of 2026 currently indicates a 0% probability, with a YES price of $0.00. This suggests that the market is not expecting Michael to be the highest-grossing film in 2026. The current price is informed by known facts about the movie industry and the competitive landscape for films released in 2026. Any changes to these factors could impact the price, such as a significant marketing campaign or unexpected shifts in audience preferences. A decrease in the YES price would indicate a further decline in market expectations, while an increase would suggest a growing likelihood of Michael being the top-grossing film. The market will resolve on December 31, 2026, once data for that date is available and verified by Box Office Mojo.