What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

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Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Microsoft

Closes Sep 30, 2026 (14d) 24h volume $1.2K Open interest $28.7K Event 2nd Largest Company end of September?

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 50 days · High 50% · Low 0% · 7d -54.5pp · 30d -92.3pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

Related stocks

MSFT Microsoft Corp

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.