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Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?

<40
Closes Aug 24, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $101.6K Open interest $172.0K Event Elon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026?
21%
implied YES probability
-0.8pp 24h

Price history

Last 5 days · High 38% · Low 6%
38%6%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Other outcomes in this event

40-64
78% YES
24h vol $32.8K
65-89
1% YES
24h vol $69.4K
90-114
0% YES
24h vol $45.7K
115-139
0% YES
24h vol $25.2K
215-239
0% YES
24h vol —
240+
0% YES
24h vol —
190-214
0% YES
24h vol —
140-164
0% YES
24h vol $7.7K

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.