AALG Leverage Shares 2X Long AAL Daily ETF
ETFETF quote, holdings, sector allocation, technicals, and options analytics. Fibonacci levels
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Leverage Shares 2X Long AAL Daily ETF (AALG) ETF
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Inception
- 2025-07-10
- Has Options
- No
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | 2026-01-02 | $0.2758 | CD |
| Symbol | Name | Weight % | Asset Class | Country |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | First American Treasury Obliga | 10.41% | Short-term investment | US |
| — | N/A | 3.41% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| — | N/A | 1.62% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| — | N/A | -0.70% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| Category | Weight | Value | Positions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term investment | 10.41% | $135612 | 1 |
| Derivative (equity) | 4.34% | $56469 | 3 |
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -25.58% | 1 |
| Feb | -11.32% | 1 |
| Mar | -24.37% | 1 |
| Apr | +9.37% | 1 |
| May | +50.26% | 1 |
| Jun | +55.12% | 1 |
| Jul | -25.63% | 2 |
| Aug | -14.14% | 2 |
| Sep | -15.87% | 2 |
| Oct | +8.82% | 2 |
| Nov | +8.87% | 1 |
| Dec | +20.88% | 1 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report: AALG
Executive Summary
Overall assessment: BEARISH (confidence level 6/10)
Key drivers:
- Weak technical signals, including a bearish MACD crossover
- High volatility, with stock moves exceeding market movements
- Lack of recent news headlines, which may contribute to uncertainty
Primary risks:
- Technical breakdown below $11.98, the lower Bollinger Band
- Potential for further price erosion due to elevated volatility
Investment thesis: AALG appears overextended and may experience a correction in the near term.
Recent news sentiment impact: The absence of recent news headlines reduces the influence on current market dynamics.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term (1-4 weeks) bearish, Medium-term (1-3 months) neutral, Long-term (3-12 months) uncertain
Support/Resistance Levels: Key price levels from moving averages and technical patterns: + Lower Bollinger Band: $11.98 + Upper Bollinger Band: $17.20 + SMA 200: $13.64 + EMA 26: $15.21
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (51.12), indicating no strong buying or selling pressure.
- MACD signal: Bearish crossover, suggesting a potential sell signal.
- Bollinger Bands position: Neutral, with the price touching the middle band.
Volume Analysis: Volume trends and institutional interest signals: + Volume SMA 20: $22,416.90 + On-Balance Volume (OBV): 381,152.13 + Volume Rate of Change: -94.29%, indicating a significant decline in trading activity
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: No recent news headlines available.
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral sentiment due to the lack of recent news.
Catalyst Identification: No imminent earnings, product launches, or regulatory changes announced.
Market Narrative: The absence of news headlines contributes to market uncertainty and potentially weighs on AALG's price.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: High risk relative to the market (beta = 3.79).
Volatility Regime: Current volatility is high, with stock moves exceeding market movements (stock volatility = 0.98).
Options Market Signals: No options data available for analysis.
Downside Protection: Support levels and risk management considerations: + Lower Bollinger Band: $11.98 + SMA 200: $13.64
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: No specific sector performance data available for AALG.
Institutional Activity: Institutional interest is uncertain due to the lack of recent news and options activity.
Correlation Analysis: How stock moves relative to market (R-squared interpretation): Uncertain, as there is no significant correlation between AALG's price movement and broader market trends.
Relative Valuation: Position within trading range: AALG appears overextended and may experience a correction in the near term.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Lower Bollinger Band: $11.98 (key support level)
- Upper Bollinger Band: $17.20 (key resistance level)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: Technical levels that could trigger significant moves: + SMA 200: $13.64 (support) + EMA 26: $15.21 (resistance)
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No imminent earnings, product launches, or regulatory changes announced.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations: + Set stop-loss below the lower Bollinger Band ($11.98) to limit potential losses. + Consider reducing position size due to high volatility and uncertain market dynamics.
This analysis provides a comprehensive overview of AALG's technical, news, and risk profiles. While there are some positive signs, such as the stock's ability to bounce off its lower Bollinger Band, the overall assessment is BEARISH due to the bearish MACD crossover and high volatility. Investors should exercise caution and consider risk management strategies to protect their positions.
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 3.74
- Correlation (SPY)
- 51.1%
- R²
- 0.26
- Ann. Volatility
- 95.1%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.0%
High volatility - stock moves more than market
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