EFU ProShares Trust UltraShort MSCI EAFE
ETFETF quote, holdings, sector allocation, technicals, and options analytics. Fibonacci levels
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
ProShares Trust UltraShort MSCI EAFE (EFU) ETF
- Exchange
- ARCX
- Inception
- 2007-10-23
- Has Options
- No
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | 2026-09-29 | $0.0798 | CD |
| 2026-06-24 | 2026-06-30 | $0.0779 | CD |
| 2026-03-25 | 2026-03-31 | $0.0305 | CD |
| 2025-12-24 | 2025-12-31 | $0.1148 | CD |
| 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-30 | $0.1423 | CD |
| 2025-06-25 | 2025-07-01 | $0.1192 | CD |
| Symbol | Name | Weight % | Asset Class | Country |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | iShares MSCI EAFE (EFA) SWAP Goldman Sachs International | -19.05% | Derivative | — |
| — | iShares MSCI EAFE (EFA) SWAP Citibank NA | -22.83% | Derivative | — |
| — | iShares MSCI EAFE (EFA) SWAP UBS AG | -23.79% | Derivative | — |
| — | iShares MSCI EAFE (EFA) SWAP Societe Generale | -34.33% | Derivative | — |
| Category | Weight | Value | Positions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Repurchase agreement | 83.21% | $745588 | 9 |
| Derivative (equity) | -71.21% | $-638110 | 4 |
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +0.81% | 19 |
| Feb | +0.74% | 19 |
| Mar | -2.34% | 19 |
| Apr | -5.19% | 19 |
| May | +0.13% | 19 |
| Jun | +1.18% | 19 |
| Jul | -3.79% | 19 |
| Aug | +1.86% | 19 |
| Sep | +0.85% | 19 |
| Oct | -0.91% | 20 |
| Nov | -2.75% | 19 |
| Dec | -3.23% | 19 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report: EFU
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key Drivers:
- Technical indicators point to a range-bound market with oversold conditions.
- Recent news headlines are neutral, lacking significant catalysts.
Primary Risks:
- High beta (-1.95) suggests increased volatility and potential for large price swings.
- Negative correlation with the market (-0.77) implies EFU may move opposite the broader market.
Investment Thesis:
EFU is currently oversold and trading within a range. While it lacks strong momentum or clear catalysts, the stock's high beta and negative correlation with the market make it an attractive option for traders seeking to capitalize on potential volatility. A well-timed trade can result in significant returns, but caution should be exercised due to the increased risk.
Recent News Sentiment Impact:
The recent news headlines are neutral, with no significant catalysts driving the stock's price action. The absence of strong buying or selling pressure has contributed to the current range-bound market.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Range-bound (Short-term: 1-4 weeks)
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Upper Bollinger Band: $7.62
- Middle Bollinger Band: $7.24
- Lower Bollinger Band: $6.86
Momentum Signals:
- RSI (14): Oversold (35.06) - potential buy signal
- MACD: Bearish (Histogram: -0.08)
- Bollinger Bands: Oversold
Volume Analysis: Volume is decreasing, suggesting institutional interest may be waning.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Neutral news headlines lack significant catalysts or market-moving events.
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral sentiment dominates the recent news headlines.
Catalyst Identification: No clear catalysts are present to drive the stock's price action.
Market Narrative: The neutral market narrative and lack of strong buying or selling pressure have contributed to the current range-bound market.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: EFU has a high beta (-1.95), indicating increased volatility and potential for large price swings.
Volatility Regime: EFU is currently trading in a relatively low-volatility regime compared to its historical volatility levels.
Options Market Signals: No options data available.
Downside Protection: Support levels are present at $6.86 (Lower Bollinger Band) and potentially lower, depending on the stock's price action.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: EFU is trading relatively strong within its sector, but this strength is not translating to the broader market.
Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggest institutional interest may be waning.
Correlation Analysis: EFU has a negative correlation (-0.77) with the market, implying it may move opposite the broader market.
Relative Valuation: EFU is trading within its historical range, lacking clear value or growth opportunities.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Support at $6.86 (Lower Bollinger Band)
- Resistance at $7.62 (Upper Bollinger Band)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: A breakout above the Upper Bollinger Band or breakdown below the Lower Bollinger Band could trigger significant price moves.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No clear catalysts are present to drive the stock's price action.
Risk Management: Consider using stop-loss levels at $6.50 and position sizing considerations based on risk tolerance.
By analyzing these key factors, investors can make informed decisions about EFU's potential for growth or decline. The high beta and negative correlation with the market suggest increased volatility and potential for large price swings. A well-timed trade can result in significant returns, but caution should be exercised due to the increased risk.
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- -1.96
- Correlation (SPY)
- -77.7%
- R²
- 0.60
- Ann. Volatility
- 32.8%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.0%
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
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