PONOU Pono Capital Four, Inc. Units
XNASStock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- Industry (SIC)
- BLANK CHECKS (6770)
- Exchange
- XNAS
Pono Capital Four Inc is a blank check company formed for the purpose of effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses or entities.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report: PONOU
Executive Summary:
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key Drivers: Recent merger agreements, corporate actions, and market sentiment.
Primary Risks: Regulatory uncertainty, market volatility, and potential delays in consummating the business combination.
Investment Thesis: Pono Capital Corp is a unique play on the air mobility platform company AERWINS Technologies Inc. The recent confirmation of funding to extend the period to consummate the initial business combination presents an opportunity for investors. However, regulatory uncertainty, market volatility, and potential delays in consummating the merger pose significant risks.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: Neutral sentiment dominates recent headlines, with no major positive or negative news events impacting the stock price.
Technical Analysis:
Trend Direction: Short-term: Bearish (MACD histogram -0.06), Medium-term: Weak Trend (ADX 20.48)
Support/Resistance Levels: SMA 20: $10.04, SMA 50: $10.33
Momentum Signals:
- RSI: Neutral (47.10)
- MACD Signal: Bearish (crossover below signal line)
- Bollinger Bands Position: Neutral (price within the band)
Volume Analysis: Weak volume trends with a decline in On-Balance Volume (OBV) and an increase in Volume Rate of Change.
News & Sentiment Analysis:
Recent Headlines Summary: All recent headlines are neutral, focused on corporate actions and merger agreements.
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral sentiment dominates, with no significant positive or negative news events impacting the stock price.
Catalyst Identification: The consummation of the business combination with AERWINS Technologies Inc. presents a potential catalyst for the stock.
Market Narrative: Recent neutral headlines have not significantly impacted the stock price, which remains in a range-bound trading pattern.
Risk & Volatility Assessment:
Beta Interpretation: Low beta (0.26) relative to SPY suggests lower risk.
Volatility Regime: Current volatility levels are relatively low compared to historical norms.
Options Market Signals: No options data available for analysis.
Downside Protection: SMA 20 and SMA 50 serve as support levels, with a potential downside protection range between $9.98 and $10.04.
Market Context & Positioning:
Sector Performance: PONOU is not sector-specific, but its unique play on the air mobility platform company AERWINS Technologies Inc. makes it an outlier in the market.
Institutional Activity: No significant institutional activity is observed in recent trading patterns.
Correlation Analysis: Low correlation (0.15) with SPY suggests PONOU may not be strongly influenced by broader market trends.
Relative Valuation: PONOU appears to be relatively valued compared to its peers, considering the potential upside from consummating the business combination.
Key Levels & Action Items:
Critical Price Levels: SMA 20: $10.04 and SMA 50: $10.33 serve as key support levels.
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: The current trading range ($9.98 - $10.33) may be breached if the business combination is successfully consummated or regulatory issues arise.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Consummation of the business combination with AERWINS Technologies Inc. presents a potential catalyst for the stock.
Risk Management: A stop-loss level around $9.98 and position sizing considerations should be implemented to manage risk.
This comprehensive analysis provides an overview of Pono Capital Corp's current market situation, incorporating technical indicators, news sentiment, and risk metrics. The report highlights key drivers, primary risks, and potential catalysts for the stock.
PONOU Options Activity & IV Rank
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
PONOU Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-06-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
PONOU Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-03-18| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Mehana Ventures LLC | 10%+ Owner | Buy (P) | +160,000 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-18 | Dustin M Shindo | CEO and Chairman | Buy (P) | +160,000 | — | EDGAR |
PONOU Insider Holdings
2 insiders · @ $10.47| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin M Shindo | CEO and Chairman | 160,000 | $1.68M | $0 | 1 | 2026-03-18 |
| 2 | Mehana Ventures LLC | 10%+ Owner | 160,000 | $1.68M | $0 | 1 | 2026-03-18 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.