SJM The J.M. Smucker Company
XNYS 129.90 DelayedStock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $88.25 – $135.89
- YTD
- +34.43%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 52.12
- Straddle Price
- $6.92
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 2.33
- Market Cap
- $13.5B
- Open
- $129.72
- Day Range
- $129.00 – $132.15
- Volume
- 1,702,658
- Prev Close
- $126.26
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.99% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.45 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 7.22% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 6.62% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +28.2pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -4.8% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $1.6B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 4.0% |
| Book / Price | 42.6% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 38.7% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 17.3% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.11 |
| Quality Score | 2/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | -8.2% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $124.11 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $123.88 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 13.4% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $6.4B |
| Market Cap | $13B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $172.37 | 18% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $44.06 | 14% | |
| Peer P/E | $59.17 | 4% | median 27.8× · 4 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $257.44 | 5% | median 14.4× · 5 peers |
| Peer P/B | $85.06 | 7% | median 1.6× · 5 peers |
| Peer P/S | $97.72 | 7% | median 1.1× · 5 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $124.11 | 29% | stability 83% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $128.67 | 16% | 18 strikes · skew +0.79 |
- Industry (SIC)
- CANNED, FRUITS, VEG, PRESERVES, JAMS & JELLIES (2033) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $13.5B
- Employees
- 8,000
- List Date
- 1994-10-31
- CIK
- 0000091419
- Next Earnings
- 2026-11-24 (Pre-Market)
- EPS Forecast
- $2.50
- Headquarters
- Orrville, OH
- Homepage
- https://www.jmsmucker.com
J.M. Smucker is a packaged food company that primarily sells through the US retail channel (75% of fiscal 2026 revenue came through its retail pet foods, coffee, and frozen handheld/spreads segments), with the remaining share consisting of sweet baked snacks (through the Hostess acquisition), away from home, and international (primarily Canada). Retail coffee is its largest category (37% of sales) with brands Folgers, Dunkin', and Cafe Bustelo. Pet foods (18% of sales) holds leading brands like Milk-Bone and Meow Mix. Of its remaining, approximately 20% comes from frozen handhelds and spreads,…
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 0.67% | 2.76% | -3.89% | 1.53% | -4.02% | 8.52% | 0.93% |
| Feb | -2.89% | -2.71% | -2.76% | -10.15% | 4.39% | 10.65% | -0.58% |
| Mar | 12.91% | 7.20% | 8.34% | 2.72% | 5.64% | -15.91% | 3.48% |
| Apr | 3.75% | -0.42% | -2.05% | -7.92% | -1.90% | 2.66% | -0.98% |
| May | 0.92% | -7.09% | -6.65% | -1.73% | -1.02% | 6.42% | -1.53% |
| Jun | -2.95% | 2.78% | 1.91% | -2.06% | -12.32% | 11.82% | -0.14% |
| Jul | 0.82% | 0.86% | 0.17% | 6.73% | 4.26% | 4.09% | 2.82% |
| Aug | -5.80% | 4.43% | -3.15% | -4.43% | 2.09% | 11.63% | 0.80% |
| Sep | -1.90% | -3.23% | -13.74% | 1.99% | -0.69% | -9.52% | -4.51% |
| Oct | 2.65% | 7.95% | -6.27% | -6.35% | -4.58% | 12.03%* | 0.90% |
| Nov | 2.31% | 3.15% | -2.89% | 4.31% | 0.52% | -- | 1.48% |
| Dec | 7.33% | 2.94% | 13.43% | -7.91% | -5.12% | -- | 2.13% |
| Total | 17.79% | 19.07% | -18.48% | -22.28% | -13.31% | 45.29% | 4.68% |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report: SJM
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL with a confidence level of 6/10.
Key Drivers:
- Technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, with no clear direction.
- Momentum oscillators indicate a neutral RSI reading, while Bollinger Bands are in a neutral position.
- Volatility indicators show high historical volatility and a current IV premium, indicating potential for increased price movement.
Primary Risks:
- Uncertainty: The stock's technical signals are mixed, making it difficult to predict future price movements.
- Volatility: High historical volatility and a current IV premium indicate potential for sharp price swings.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: Neutral news headlines (60% positive) have had no significant impact on the stock's technical signals.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term: NEUTRAL
- Medium-term: UPHILL TRENDSIDEWAYS
- Long-term: BEARISH
Support/Resistance Levels: Upper support: $135.38 (Bollinger Bands upper band) Lower resistance: $114.40 (Bollinger Bands lower band)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (53.86%)
- MACD signal: Bullish (3.23 / Signal: -0.07 / Histogram: 3.30)
- Bollinger Bands position: Neutral
Volume Analysis: Volume SMA 20: 1328283.97 On-Balance Volume (OBV): -24226678.60 (bearish)
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary:
- Positive news headlines (60%) from Smucker's CEO selling shares and bullish market commentary have had no significant impact on the stock.
- Neutral news headline about a pullback creating bargain opportunities has also had no notable effect.
Sentiment Assessment: POSITIVE due to recent positive news headlines.
Catalyst Identification:
- No immediate or near-term catalysts identified, but the options market suggests potential for increased price movement.
Market Narrative: The technical signals are mixed, with no clear direction. The options market pricing a move by expiration is indicating potential for increased volatility and price swings.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Risk Metrics:
- Beta: -0.27 (vs SPY) — regime: defensive
- Alpha: 0.21
- Correlation: -0.12
Volatility Regime: High historical volatility, with current IV premium indicating potential for increased price movement.
Options Market Signals:
- IV Rank: 36.9% (Medium)
- Current IV: 64.2%
- Expected Move: $8.75 (42 DTE), 7-DTE: $5.20
- Volume Flow: 248 calls vs 85 puts
- Open Interest: 2,068 calls vs 1,450 puts
- Put/Call Volume Ratio: 0.34 (Bullish sentiment)
- Put/Call OI Ratio: 0.70
Downside Protection: Support levels and risk management considerations are key in this volatile market.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: Consumer Goods sector performing well, with some defensive stocks holding their ground.
Institutional Activity: No unusual institutional activity or volume patterns suggesting significant interest.
Correlation Analysis: The stock has shown a negative correlation to the broader market (R-squared interpretation).
Relative Valuation: The stock is positioned within a trading range, with no clear direction.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Support: $124.89 (SMA 20)
- Resistance: $135.38 (Bollinger Bands upper band)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- Uptrend: $134.50 (2 standard deviations above mean)
- Downtrend: $114.40 (Bollinger Bands lower band)
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No immediate or near-term catalysts identified, but the options market suggests potential for increased price movement.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations are key in this volatile market.
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of SJM stock using structured data and technical indicators. The neutral trend, mixed momentum signals, and high volatility suggest caution, while positive news headlines and defensive beta indicate some resilience.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-25 | Pre-Market | 6.24% | 1.60% | 0.26x | Within |
| 2021-06-03 | Pre-Market | 4.35% | 1.43% | 0.33x | Within |
| 2021-08-26 | Pre-Market | 5.97% | 2.64% | 0.44x | Within |
| 2021-11-23 | Pre-Market | 5.39% | 5.69% | 1.06x | Exceeded |
| 2022-03-01 | Pre-Market | 6.29% | 6.26% | 1.00x | Within |
| 2022-06-07 | Pre-Market | 6.06% | 5.72% | 0.94x | Within |
| 2022-08-23 | Pre-Market | 5.95% | 3.34% | 0.56x | Within |
| 2022-11-21 | Pre-Market | 5.92% | 1.35% | 0.23x | Within |
| 2023-02-28 | Pre-Market | 4.56% | 0.11% | 0.02x | Within |
| 2023-06-06 | Pre-Market | 5.17% | 1.83% | 0.35x | Within |
| 2023-08-29 | Pre-Market | 4.18% | 2.13% | 0.51x | Within |
| 2023-12-05 | Pre-Market | 2.45% | 3.28% | 1.34x | Exceeded |
| 2024-02-27 | Pre-Market | 5.71% | 2.08% | 0.36x | Within |
| 2024-06-06 | Pre-Market | 5.48% | 4.57% | 0.83x | Within |
| 2024-08-28 | Pre-Market | 5.55% | 4.95% | 0.89x | Within |
| 2024-11-26 | Pre-Market | 6.47% | 5.69% | 0.88x | Within |
| 2025-02-27 | Pre-Market | 7.01% | 0.02% | 0.00x | Within |
| 2025-06-10 | Pre-Market | 5.27% | 15.59% | 2.96x | Exceeded |
| 2025-08-27 | Pre-Market | 6.42% | 4.44% | 0.69x | Within |
| 2025-11-25 | Pre-Market | 6.86% | 3.73% | 0.54x | Within |
| 2026-02-26 | Pre-Market | 6.68% | 8.82% | 1.32x | Exceeded |
| 2026-06-09 | Pre-Market | 7.15% | 10.44% | 1.46x | Exceeded |
| 2026-08-26 | Pre-Market | 7.21% | 4.34% | 0.60x | Within |
Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →
SJM Options Activity & IV Rank
SJM IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Options Flow
ATM Options Pricing
Chain Summary
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 91st percentile of this name's own daily history, near the high end of its range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
Risk Metrics
Analysis Details
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
SJM Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $59.52M | 32.39% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $55.50M | 30.20% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $15.33M | 8.34% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $12.39M | 6.74% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Squarepoint Ops LLC | $8.85M | 4.82% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | Concentric Capital Strategies, LP | $7.76M | 4.22% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | $7.13M | 3.88% | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P. | $4.05M | 2.20% | 2026-06-30 |
| 9 | Walleye Trading LLC | $3.71M | 2.02% | 2026-06-30 |
| 10 | CAPITAL FUND MANAGEMENT S.A. | $2.34M | 1.27% | 2026-06-30 |
| 11 | D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian | $1.78M | 0.97% | 2026-06-30 |
| 12 | Twin Tree Management, LP | $1.15M | 0.62% | 2026-06-30 |
| 13 | TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL | $1.14M | 0.62% | 2026-06-30 |
| 14 | Cubist Systematic Strategies, LLC | $1.12M | 0.61% | 2025-09-30 |
| 15 | Millennium Management LLC Custodian | $888.75K | 0.48% | 2026-06-30 |
| 16 | Walleye Capital LLC | $315.00K | 0.17% | 2026-06-30 |
| 17 | Two Sigma Investments, LP Custodian | $292.50K | 0.16% | 2026-06-30 |
| 18 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $270.00K | 0.15% | 2026-06-30 |
| 19 | Bank of Montreal Custodian | $168.75K | 0.09% | 2026-06-30 |
| 20 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $78.75K | 0.04% | 2026-06-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $25.18M | 27.90% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $13.53M | 15.00% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $9.68M | 10.72% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $8.52M | 9.44% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Squarepoint Ops LLC | $7.89M | 8.74% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | PEAK6 LLC | $5.38M | 5.96% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | $4.79M | 5.31% | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P. | $4.05M | 4.49% | 2026-06-30 |
| 9 | Millennium Management LLC Custodian | $3.76M | 4.16% | 2026-06-30 |
| 10 | Walleye Trading LLC | $3.12M | 3.45% | 2026-06-30 |
| 11 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $1.11M | 1.23% | 2026-06-30 |
| 12 | Cubist Systematic Strategies, LLC | $890.52K | 0.99% | 2025-09-30 |
| 13 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $708.75K | 0.79% | 2026-06-30 |
| 14 | D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian | $540.00K | 0.60% | 2026-06-30 |
| 15 | Verition Fund Management LLC | $382.50K | 0.42% | 2026-06-30 |
| 16 | Two Sigma Investments, LP Custodian | $292.50K | 0.32% | 2026-06-30 |
| 17 | Twin Tree Management, LP | $180.00K | 0.20% | 2026-06-30 |
| 18 | Walleye Capital LLC | $180.00K | 0.20% | 2026-06-30 |
| 19 | Bank of Montreal Custodian | $67.50K | 0.07% | 2026-06-30 |
SJM Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-10-02| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Jay L Henderson | Director | Grant (A) | +1,466 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-02 | Bruce Chung | Director | Grant (A) | +1,692 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-02 | Susan Chapman-Hughes | Director | Grant (A) | +1,466 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-02 | Mercedes Abramo | Director | Grant (A) | +1,681 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-02 | Jonathan E Johnson III | Director | Grant (A) | +1,466 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-02 | Jodi Taylor | Director | Grant (A) | +1,466 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-02 | Kirk Perry | Director | Grant (A) | +1,681 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-02 | Dawn C Willoughby | Director | Grant (A) | +1,466 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-02 | David V Singer | Director | Grant (A) | +1,466 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-02 | Tarang Amin | Director | Grant (A) | +1,724 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-02 | Jill R Penrose | Chief People Officer | Tax (F) | −1,461 | $131.42 | -$192.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-02 | Robert D Ferguson | Chief Product Supply Officer | Mixed | −3,643 | $132.11 | -$481.3K | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-02 | Jeannette L Knudsen | Chief Legal Officer | Tax (F) | −1,584 | $131.42 | -$208.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-02 | Mark T Smucker | CEO, Chair of Board | Mixed | — | $120.14 | -$1.91M | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-31 | Tucker H Marshall | Chief Financial Officer | Mixed | — | $125.55 | -$240.2K | EDGAR |
SJM Insider Holdings
10 insiders · @ $129.90| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richard K Smucker | Director | 668,735 | $86.87M | -$14.89M | 40 | 2025-10-02 |
| 2 | Mark T Smucker | CEO, Chair of Board | 114,156 | $14.83M | -$27.20M | 68 | 2026-09-02 |
| 3 | John P Brase | President and COO | 84,264 | $10.95M | -$1.49M | 11 | 2025-06-17 |
| 4 | Tucker H Marshall | Chief Financial Officer | 51,318 | $6.67M | -$10.90M | 29 | 2026-08-31 |
| 5 | Robert D Ferguson | Chief Product Supply Officer | 35,599 | $4.62M | -$333.9K | 4 | 2026-09-02 |
| 6 | Jeannette L Knudsen | Chief Legal Officer | 20,494 | $2.66M | -$7.03M | 58 | 2026-09-02 |
| 7 | Jill R Penrose | Chief People Officer | 17,089 | $2.22M | -$7.59M | 42 | 2026-09-02 |
| 8 | Katherine Marie Williams | Chief Marketing Officer | 12,848 | $1.67M | $0 | 2 | 2026-06-12 |
| 9 | Tarang Amin | Director | 4,705 | $611.2K | $535.3K | 19 | 2026-10-02 |
| 10 | Jay L Henderson | Director | 3,000 | $389.7K | $419.6K | 12 | 2026-10-02 |
SJM Board & Officers
As of SEC filings through Oct 2, 2026Directors 11
- Mark T Smucker · listed since Nov 2010
- Jay L Henderson · since Aug 17, 2016
- Dawn C Willoughby · since Aug 16, 2017
- Kirk Perry · since Aug 16, 2017
- Jodi Taylor · since Aug 19, 2020
- Susan Chapman-Hughes · since Aug 19, 2020
- Jonathan E Johnson III · since Feb 4, 2022
- Mercedes Abramo · since Aug 16, 2023
- Tarang Amin · since Aug 16, 2023
- Bruce Chung · on file since Apr 2026
- David V Singer · since Apr 15, 2026
Officers 6
- Mark T Smucker · CEO, Chair of Board · listed since Jun 2025
- Tucker H Marshall · Chief Financial Officer · since May 1, 2020
- Jill R Penrose · Chief People Officer · listed since Mar 2023
- Jeannette L Knudsen · Chief Legal Officer · listed since Mar 2023
- Robert D Ferguson · Chief Product Supply Officer · since Feb 9, 2026
- Katherine Marie Williams · Chief Marketing Officer · since Mar 9, 2026
Changes in the last 10 years (38)
| Apr 15, 2026 | David V Singer became a director |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bruce Chung first on file as a director |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Katherine Marie Williams became Chief Marketing Officer |
| Feb 10, 2026 | The company announced the departure of John P Brase as President and COO in an SEC filing |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Robert D Ferguson became Chief Product Supply Officer |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Mark T Smucker listed as CEO, Chair of Board (previously Chair of Board, Pres & CEO) in SEC filings |
| May 1, 2025 | John P Brase listed as President and COO (previously Chief Operating Officer) in SEC filings |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Tarang Amin became a director |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Mercedes Abramo became a director |
| Jun 15, 2023 | Amy C Held listed as Chief Transformation Officer (previously Chief Strategy & Int'l Officer) in SEC filings |
| Mar 22, 2023 | Jeannette L Knudsen listed as Chief Legal Officer (previously Chief Legal & Compliance Offic) in SEC filings |
| Mar 20, 2023 | Jill R Penrose listed as Chief People Officer (previously Chief People & Admin Officer) in SEC filings |
| Aug 29, 2022 | Mark T Smucker listed as Chair of Board, Pres & CEO (previously President and CEO) in SEC filings |
| Jun 23, 2022 | The company announced the departure of Timothy P Smucker from the board in an SEC filing |
| Jun 23, 2022 | The company announced the departure of Timothy P Smucker from the board in an SEC filing |
| Jun 23, 2022 | The company announced the departure of Richard K Smucker from the board in an SEC filing |
| Jun 23, 2022 | The company announced the departure of Richard K Smucker as Executive Chairman in an SEC filing |
| Feb 4, 2022 | Jonathan E Johnson III became a director |
| Aug 19, 2020 | Susan Chapman-Hughes became a director |
| Aug 19, 2020 | Jodi Taylor became a director |
| Jun 10, 2020 | Jill R Penrose listed as Chief People & Admin Officer (previously Chief People and Administrativ) in SEC filings |
| Jun 10, 2020 | Amy C Held listed as Chief Strategy & Int'l Officer (previously Senior Vice President) in SEC filings |
| May 28, 2020 | Mark R Belgya listed as Vice Chair (previously Vice Chair and CFO) in SEC filings |
| May 1, 2020 | Tucker H Marshall became Chief Financial Officer |
| Apr 13, 2020 | John P Brase became Chief Operating Officer |
| Dec 30, 2019 | Jill R Penrose listed as Chief People and Administrativ (previously SVP, Human Resources) in SEC filings |
| Dec 13, 2019 | Geoff E Tanner listed as Chief Commercial & Marketing (previously Senior Vice President) in SEC filings |
| Dec 9, 2019 | Jeannette L Knudsen listed as Chief Legal & Compliance Offic (previously SVP, GC & Secretary) in SEC filings |
| Aug 13, 2019 | Geoff E Tanner became Senior Vice President |
| Jan 2, 2019 | David J Lemmon listed as President, Pet Food (previously President, Canada, Intl, AFH) in SEC filings |
| Oct 3, 2018 | Timothy P Smucker first listed as a director in an SEC filing |
| Jul 3, 2018 | Kevin G Jackson listed as Senior Vice President (previously Vice President) in SEC filings |
| Jun 25, 2018 | Amy C Held became Senior Vice President |
| May 31, 2018 | David J Lemmon listed as President, Canada, Intl, AFH (previously President, Canada) in SEC filings |
| Mar 9, 2018 | Tina R Floyd became Senior Vice President |
| Mar 9, 2018 | Joseph Stanziano became Senior Vice President |
| Aug 16, 2017 | Kirk Perry became a director |
| Aug 16, 2017 | Dawn C Willoughby became a director |
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Not reported recently (16)
- Alex Shumate · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Oct 3, 2024
- Amy C Held · Last reported as Chief Transformation Officer in an SEC filing dated Sep 5, 2023
- Paul J Dolan · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Jul 5, 2023
- Sandra Pianalto · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Oct 4, 2022
- Geoff E Tanner · Last reported as Chief Commercial & Marketing in an SEC filing dated Aug 29, 2022
- Nancy Lopez Knight · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Apr 21, 2021
- Mark R Belgya · Last reported as Vice Chair in an SEC filing dated Aug 31, 2020
- Gary A Oatey · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Jul 6, 2020
- David J Lemmon · Last reported as President, Pet Food in an SEC filing dated Oct 8, 2019
- Kathryn W Dindo · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Oct 3, 2019
- Kevin G Jackson · Last reported as Senior Vice President in an SEC filing dated Sep 16, 2019
- Elizabeth Valk Long · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Jul 2, 2019
- Joseph Stanziano · Last reported as Senior Vice President in an SEC filing dated Jun 27, 2019
- Tina R Floyd · Last reported as Senior Vice President in an SEC filing dated Jun 17, 2019
- Barry C Dunaway · Last reported as President, Pet Food and Snacks in an SEC filing dated Jun 18, 2018
- Steven Oakland · Last reported as Vice Chair and President in an SEC filing dated Jun 26, 2017
SJM Proposed Insider Sales (Form 144)
Latest: 2026-08-31What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. An amended notice (Form 144/A) replaces the original it amends, and cancelled notices are dropped, so neither is double-counted above. A filed value that is clearly inconsistent with the share count at the stock's price (a filer typo) shows as a dash and is left out of the totals.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | SMUCKER MARK T | Officer, Director | 84,821 | $11.14M | 2026-08-31 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-31 | Ferguson Robert D | Officer | 2,522 | $335.5K | 2026-08-31 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-28 | Marshall Tucker H | Officer | 18,482 | $2.44M | 2026-08-28 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-29 | Penrose Jill R | Officer | 5,000 | $583.5K | 2026-06-29 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-26 | Knudsen Jeannette L | Officer | 4,353 | $500.9K | 2026-06-26 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-24 | Marshall Tucker H | Officer | 3,630 | $403.1K | 2026-06-24 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-17 | SMUCKER MARK T | Officer, Director | 13,000 | $1.50M | 2026-06-17 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-11 | Knudsen Jeannette L | Officer | 5,550 | $645.4K | 2026-06-11 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-10 | SMUCKER MARK T | Officer, Director | 463 | $50.4K | 2026-03-10 | Fidelity Brokerage Services, LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2025-09-30 | Marshall Tucker H | Officer | 11,139 | $1.20M | 2025-09-30 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | 0000091419-26-000020 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-26 | 0000091419-26-000013 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-26 | 0000091419-26-000017 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-10 | 0000091419-26-000007 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-25 | 0000091419-25-000104 | EDGAR |
| 2025-08-27 | 0000091419-25-000069 | EDGAR |
| 2025-08-18 | 0000091419-25-000065 | EDGAR |
| 2025-06-10 | 0000091419-25-000037 | EDGAR |
| 2025-04-30 | 0001193125-25-105911 | EDGAR |
| 2025-03-07 | 0001193125-25-049909 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-18 | 0000091419-25-000056 | EDGAR |
| 2024-06-18 | 0000091419-24-000054 | EDGAR |
| 2023-06-20 | 0000091419-23-000072 | EDGAR |
| 2022-06-16 | 0000091419-22-000049 | EDGAR |
| 2021-06-17 | 0000091419-21-000048 | EDGAR |
| 2020-06-19 | 0000091419-20-000065 | EDGAR |
| 2019-06-17 | 0000091419-19-000005 | EDGAR |
| 2018-06-18 | 0000091419-18-000005 | EDGAR |
| 2017-06-19 | 0000091419-17-000005 | EDGAR |
| 2016-06-21 | 0000091419-16-000007 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | 0000091419-26-000016 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-25 | 0000091419-25-000106 | EDGAR |
| 2025-08-27 | 0000091419-25-000071 | EDGAR |
| 2025-02-27 | 0000091419-25-000011 | EDGAR |
| 2024-11-26 | 0000091419-24-000103 | EDGAR |
| 2024-08-28 | 0000091419-24-000077 | EDGAR |
| 2024-02-27 | 0000091419-24-000010 | EDGAR |
| 2023-12-05 | 0000091419-23-000143 | EDGAR |
| 2023-08-29 | 0000091419-23-000113 | EDGAR |
| 2023-02-28 | 0000091419-23-000021 | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.02% | $383.8M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 2 | VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | Vanguard | 0.02% | $334.0M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 3 | VB Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap ETF | Vanguard | 0.15% | $271.7M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 4 | DFAT Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF | Dimensional | 0.64% | $201.7M | — | 2026-10-29 |
| 5 | RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF | Invesco | 0.20% | $201.6M | — | 2026-10-29 |
| 6 | IVV iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.02% | $179.7M | $870.0B | 2026-10-29 |
| 7 | VBR Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF | Vanguard | 0.27% | $176.8M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 8 | NOBL ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF | ProShares | 1.43% | $170.3M | — | 2026-10-30 |
| 9 | SPY State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust | SPDR (State Street) | 0.02% | $165.0M | $813.6B | 2026-10-29 |
| 10 | SDY State Street® SPDR® S&P® Dividend ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.53% | $125.0M | $23.8B | 2026-10-29 |
| 11 | XLP State Street® Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR® ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.80% | $118.0M | $14.8B | 2026-10-29 |
| 12 | SPYD State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 500® High Dividend ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 1.37% | $104.6M | $7.6B | 2026-10-29 |
| 13 | DFAS Dimensional US Small Cap ETF | Dimensional | 0.23% | $80.1M | — | 2026-10-29 |
| 14 | SPHD Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF | Invesco | 1.93% | $65.2M | — | 2026-10-29 |
| 15 | DFSV Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF | Dimensional | 0.22% | $61.3M | — | 2026-10-29 |
| 16 | IWR iShares Russell Mid-Cap ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.10% | $56.1M | $58.1B | 2026-10-29 |
| 17 | KNG FT Vest S&P 500® Dividend Aristocrats Target Income ETF® | First Trust | 1.49% | $50.6M | $3.4B | 2026-10-29 |
| 18 | VYM Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF | Vanguard | 0.05% | $50.5M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 19 | VDC Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF | Vanguard | 0.57% | $49.2M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 20 | DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF | Dimensional | 0.05% | $40.7M | — | 2026-10-29 |
| 21 | SPYM State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 500® ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.02% | $37.6M | $185.3B | 2026-10-29 |
| 22 | DON WisdomTree U.S. Midcap Dividend Fund | Nport | 0.83% | $33.1M | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 23 | FVD First Trust Value Line® Dividend Index Fund | First Trust | 0.40% | $32.5M | $8.1B | 2026-10-29 |
| 24 | RDIV Invesco S&P Ultra Dividend Revenue ETF | Invesco | 1.88% | $32.2M | — | 2026-10-29 |
| 25 | SCHM Schwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF | Nport | 0.20% | $29.8M | — | 2026-05-31 |
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Quarterly figures (12 quarters)
| Quarter | Period End | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Op. Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 '27 | 2026-07-31 | $2.22B | $324.30M | $3.03 | $425.70M |
| Q4 '26 | 2026-04-30 | $2.27B | $388.10M | $3.64 | $579.20M |
| Q3 '26 | 2026-01-31 | $2.34B | $-724.20M | $-6.79 | $558.50M |
| Q2 '26 | 2025-10-31 | $2.33B | $241.30M | $2.26 | $346.50M |
| Q1 '26 | 2025-07-31 | $2.11B | $-43.90M | $-0.41 | $-10.60M |
| Q4 '25 | 2025-04-30 | $2.14B | $-729.00M | $-6.85 | $393.90M |
| Q3 '25 | 2025-01-31 | $2.19B | $-662.30M | $-6.22 | $239.40M |
| Q2 '25 | 2024-10-31 | $2.27B | $-24.50M | $-0.23 | $404.20M |
| Q1 '25 | 2024-07-31 | $2.13B | $185.00M | $1.74 | $172.90M |
| Q4 '24 | 2024-04-30 | $2.21B | $245.10M | $2.32 | $428.10M |
| Q3 '24 | 2024-01-31 | $2.23B | $120.40M | $1.13 | $406.50M |
| Q2 '24 | 2023-10-31 | $1.94B | $194.90M | $1.90 | $176.90M |
Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.
- P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
- P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
- P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
- EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
- EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.
- ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
- ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
- Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
- FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.
- Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
- Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.
- Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
- Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
- Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.