USO · Expected Move
United States Oil Fund, LP · ETF
The expected move for USO is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
USO straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current USO Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$17.15
7-Day Straddle
$9.60
30-Day ATM IV
52.0%
IV Rank
62%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to USO's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
USO Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261109 | $17.15 | $9.60 | 52.0% | 62% |
| 20261106 | $17.30 | $8.47 | 53.3% | 65% |
| 20261105 | $18.45 | $8.50 | 55.7% | 70% |
| 20261104 | $17.80 | $9.12 | 53.8% | 66% |
| 20261103 | $20.73 | $10.95 | 56.6% | 72% |
| 20261102 | $21.52 | $12.10 | 58.2% | 76% |
| 20261030 | $19.65 | $9.03 | 53.2% | 64% |
| 20261029 | $19.07 | $7.80 | 51.0% | 59% |
| 20261028 | $20.83 | $8.92 | 55.1% | 69% |
| 20261027 | $18.65 | $8.93 | 49.2% | 55% |
| 20261026 | $21.15 | $10.45 | 54.0% | 66% |
| 20261023 | $20.77 | $10.57 | 55.0% | 69% |
| 20261022 | $18.50 | $8.04 | 50.5% | 58% |
| 20261021 | $17.65 | $8.57 | 48.3% | 53% |
| 20261020 | $17.40 | $8.60 | 46.5% | 49% |
| 20261019 | $17.00 | $8.57 | 44.9% | 45% |
| 20261016 | $16.55 | $7.85 | 46.4% | 48% |
| 20261015 | $15.88 | $6.35 | 44.6% | 44% |
| 20261014 | $15.43 | $6.88 | 43.8% | 42% |
| 20261013 | $15.90 | $7.04 | 44.8% | 45% |
| 20261012 | $15.95 | $7.70 | 44.9% | 45% |
| 20260302 | $14.58 | $8.97 | 68.4% | 100% |
| 20260227 | $11.50 | $6.55 | 62.5% | 100% |
| 20260226 | $10.10 | $4.86 | 56.4% | 100% |
| 20260225 | $9.88 | $5.33 | 54.6% | 100% |
| 20260224 | $10.25 | $5.57 | 54.5% | 100% |
| 20260223 | $10.35 | $5.87 | 54.6% | 100% |
| 20260221 | $9.30 | $4.30 | — | — |
| 20260220 | $9.30 | $4.30 | 51.6% | 91% |
| 20260219 | $9.57 | $4.05 | 52.8% | 95% |
| 20260218 | $8.65 | $4.16 | 46.9% | 74% |
| 20260217 | $6.65 | $3.27 | 37.5% | 41% |
| 20260213 | $6.28 | $2.99 | 37.0% | 40% |
| 20260212 | $6.55 | $2.58 | 37.8% | 42% |
| 20260211 | $7.50 | $3.25 | 41.4% | 55% |
| 20260210 | $7.92 | $3.97 | 44.1% | 64% |
| 20260209 | $8.40 | $4.60 | 46.6% | 73% |
| 20260206 | $8.54 | $4.22 | 50.9% | 88% |
| 20260205 | $9.10 | $4.43 | 52.7% | 95% |
| 20260204 | $9.32 | $4.62 | 52.7% | 95% |
| 20260203 | $9.47 | $5.26 | 51.5% | 91% |
| 20260202 | $7.62 | $4.10 | 43.7% | 63% |
| 20260130 | $9.73 | $5.42 | 54.2% | 100% |
| 20260129 | $9.53 | $4.47 | 53.8% | 100% |
| 20260128 | $8.18 | $3.96 | 46.2% | 98% |
| 20260127 | $8.10 | $4.33 | 46.5% | 100% |
| 20260126 | $7.58 | $4.14 | 43.9% | 100% |
| 20260123 | $6.97 | $3.73 | 43.3% | 100% |
| 20260122 | $6.45 | $2.62 | 39.4% | 81% |
| 20260121 | $6.88 | $3.06 | 40.9% | 90% |
| 20260120 | $6.38 | $3.14 | 37.8% | 71% |
| 20260116 | $6.00 | $2.83 | 37.4% | 69% |
| 20260115 | $5.88 | $2.62 | 36.7% | 65% |
| 20260114 | $6.84 | $3.82 | 42.7% | 100% |
| 20260113 | $6.63 | $4.15 | 39.4% | 100% |
| 20260112 | $6.00 | $3.62 | 36.8% | 100% |
| 20260109 | $5.34 | $2.93 | 33.6% | 83% |
| 20260108 | $4.96 | $3.05 | 32.4% | 70% |
| 20260107 | $4.67 | $2.33 | 29.9% | 44% |
| 20260106 | $4.49 | $2.30 | 28.2% | 26% |
More on USO
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.