K KalshiMarkets & Companies

Instacart App Downloads in September

12 outcomesSettles Oct 08, 2026 (1d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line98%Above 126
Line nearest 50/50
98%
Above 126
Market median
126.995
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move+2 pts
100%
Above 112
24h volume
$27K
$54K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 104 100%
Above 108 100% +1
Above 112 100% +2
Above 116 100% +1
Above 120 100% +1
Above 122 99% +1
Above 126 98% +1
Above 124 98% +1
Above 128 1%
Above 130 0% -1
Above 132 0%
Above 136 0% -1

What the market expects

median 126.995

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 108
    YES $6K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $4K
  • Above 120
    YES $5K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $4K
  • Above 128
    YES $0 · NO $4K · 3 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 130
    YES $1K · NO $2K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 132
    YES $0 · NO $3K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 136
    YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 116
    YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 122
    YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 128NO 99¢$1K
Above 124YES 99¢$1K
Above 128NO 99¢$2K
Above 128NO 99¢$1K
Above 126YES 98¢$1K
Above 130NO 99¢$2K
Above 122YES 99¢$2K
Above 120YES 99¢$4K
Above 116YES 99¢$2K
Above 112YES 99¢$2K

All outcomes

12
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 104 100% — $1K $3K
Above 108 100% +1.0 $4K $8K
Above 112 100% +2.0 $3K $3K
Above 116 100% +1.0 $2K $4K
Above 120 100% +1.0 $4K $7K
Above 122 99% +1.0 $2K $3K
Above 126 98% +1.0 $300 $3K
Above 124 98% +1.0 $1K $5K
Above 128 1% — $4K $6K
Above 130 0% -1.0 $2K $5K
Above 132 0% — $202 $5K
Above 136 0% -1.0 $2K $3K

Same series