K KalshiMarkets & Companies

Disney+ App Downloads in September

15 outcomesSettles Oct 08, 2026 (1d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line2%Above 95
Line nearest 50/50
2%
Above 95
Market median
93.01
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move-11 pts
2%
Above 95
24h volume
$35K
$66K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 87 99%
Above 91 98%
Above 95 2% -11
Above 99 2%
Above 123 1%
Above 125 1%
Above 133 1%
Above 103 0%
Above 119 0%
Above 129 0% -1
Above 127 0% -1
Above 115 0% -1
Above 111 0%
Above 107 0% -1

+ 1 more in the table below.

What the market expects

median 93.01

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 131
    YES $0 · NO $5K · 2 orders · biggest $3K
  • Above 129
    YES $0 · NO $5K · 1 orders · biggest $5K
  • Above 103
    YES $0 · NO $5K · 2 orders · biggest $3K
  • Above 115
    YES $0 · NO $5K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 133
    YES $0 · NO $4K · 2 orders · biggest $3K
  • Above 125
    YES $0 · NO $4K · 1 orders · biggest $4K
  • Above 127
    YES $0 · NO $4K · 1 orders · biggest $4K
  • Above 87
    YES $3K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 103NO 99¢$3K
Above 133NO 99¢$2K
Above 131NO 99¢$2K
Above 87YES 99¢$2K
Above 95NO 95¢$1K
Above 87YES 99¢$1K
Above 103NO 99¢$2K
Above 107NO 99¢$2K
Above 111NO 99¢$2K
Above 115NO 99¢$2K

All outcomes

15
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 87 99% — $3K $4K
Above 91 98% — $128 $6K
Above 95 2% -11.0 $5K $5K
Above 99 2% — $1K $3K
Above 123 1% — $713 $4K
Above 125 1% — $10 $5K
Above 133 1% — $2K $6K
Above 103 0% — $6K $7K
Above 119 0% — $30 $4K
Above 129 0% -1.0 $5K $6K
Above 127 0% -1.0 $4K $4K
Above 115 0% -1.0 $2K $4K
Above 111 0% — $2K $2K
Above 107 0% -1.0 $2K $2K
Above 131 0% — $2K $5K

Same series