K KalshiMarkets & Companies

Gemini App Downloads in September

20 outcomesSettles Oct 08, 2026 (1d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line10%Above 350
Line nearest 50/50
10%
Above 350
Market median
80.051
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move-9 pts
0%
Above 310
24h volume
$39K
$88K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 10 100%
Above 70 99% +1
Above 50 99%
Above 30 99%
Above 350 10%
Above 330 5%
Above 90 2% +2
Above 110 0%
Above 250 0%
Above 270 0%
Above 130 0%
Above 320 0%
Above 190 0% +1
Above 230 0%

+ 6 more in the table below.

What the market expects

median 80.051

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 110
    YES $0 · NO $12K · 3 orders · biggest $8K
  • Above 210
    YES $0 · NO $5K · 1 orders · biggest $5K
  • Above 270
    YES $0 · NO $5K · 1 orders · biggest $5K
  • Above 90
    YES $0 · NO $4K · 2 orders · biggest $3K
  • Above 50
    YES $4K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 10
    YES $3K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K
  • September 2026
    YES $0 · NO $3K · 1 orders · biggest $3K
  • Above 320
    YES $0 · NO $3K · 1 orders · biggest $3K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 110NO 99¢$1K
Above 110NO 99¢$8K
Above 50YES 99¢$1K
Above 10YES 99¢$1K
Above 110NO 99¢$3K
Above 90NO 99¢$3K
Above 130NO 99¢$1K
Above 150NO 99¢$2K
Above 170NO 99¢$1K
Above 190NO 99¢$2K

All outcomes

20
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 10 100% — $4K $5K
Above 70 99% +1.0 $5K $4K
Above 50 99% — $2K $5K
Above 30 99% — $30 $3K
Above 350 10% — $10 $4K
Above 330 5% — $10 $2K
Above 90 2% +2.0 $7K $9K
Above 110 0% — $15K $14K
Above 250 0% — $1K $7K
Above 270 0% — $600 $7K
Above 130 0% — $1K $4K
Above 320 0% — $601 $3K
Above 190 0% +1.0 $23 $2K
Above 230 0% — $93 $3K
Above 210 0% — $936 $5K
Above 150 0% — $600 $2K
Above 170 0% — $2K $2K
Above 310 0% -9.0 $600 $4K
Above 290 0% — $166 $3K
Above 300 0% — $2 $3K

Same series