Gold price on October 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
50/50 line53%Above $4161.99
Line nearest 50/50
53%
Market median
4167.44
Biggest 24h move+2 pts
4%
24h volume
$3K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove $3921.99
98%
Above $4021.99
96%
+4
Above $4061.99
94%
+12
Above $4081.99
90%
+16
Above $4101.99
84%
Above $4121.99
74%
+19
Above $4141.99
66%
+14
Above $4161.99
53%
+15
Above $4201.99
31%
+2
Above $4221.99
22%
Above $4241.99
15%
-4
Above $4321.99
4%
+2
What the market expects
median 4167.44Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyAll outcomes
13| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $3921.99 | 98% | — | $50 | $50 |
| Above $4021.99 | 96% | +3.5 | $93 | $341 |
| Above $4061.99 | 94% | +11.5 | $9 | $33 |
| Above $4081.99 | 90% | +16.5 | $19 | $231 |
| Above $4101.99 | 84% | — | $10 | $10 |
| Above $4121.99 | 74% | +19.0 | $214 | $314 |
| Above $4141.99 | 66% | +14.5 | $241 | $348 |
| Above $4161.99 | 53% | +15.0 | $103 | $187 |
| Above $4201.99 | 31% | +2.0 | $36 | $124 |
| Above $4221.99 | 22% | — | $151 | $151 |
| Above $4241.99 | 15% | -4.0 | $8 | $15 |
| Above $4301.99 | 4% | — | $11 | $11 |
| Above $4321.99 | 4% | +1.5 | $2K | $2K |