P PolymarketCulture & Media

Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026?

10 outcomesSettles Oct 07, 2026 (0d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite80%<40
Favorite
80%
<40
Runner-up
20%
40-64
Biggest 24h move+70 pts
80%
<40
24h volume
$169K
$807K open interest

Current odds

one winner
<40 80% +70
40-64 20% -38
65-89 1% -26
90-114 0% -2
165-189 0%
140-164 0%
190-214 0%
115-139 0%
240+ 0%
215-239 0%

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

10
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
<40 80% +69.5 $56K $81K
40-64 20% -38.5 $30K $81K
65-89 1% -26.1 $36K $81K
90-114 0% -2.1 $35K $81K
165-189 0% — $253 $81K
140-164 0% — $290 $81K
190-214 0% — $545 $81K
115-139 0% — $11K $81K
240+ 0% — $25 $81K
215-239 0% — $25 $81K

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 5 12:00 PM ET to October 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.