Nobel Chemistry Prize Winner 2026
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/no+ 13 more in the table below.
Odds over time
hourlyHourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
27| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shankar Balasubramanian | 16% | — | $2K | $12K |
| Harry Gray | 16% | — | $2K | $12K |
| David Liu | 14% | — | $3K | $12K |
| David Allara | 14% | — | $2K | $12K |
| Stephen Buchwald | 12% | — | $4K | $12K |
| Chi-Huey Wong | 10% | — | $744 | $12K |
| Pieter Cullis | 8% | — | $80 | $12K |
| Michele Parrinello | 8% | — | $42 | $12K |
| Bonnie Bassler | 7% | — | $728 | $12K |
| Eric Jacobsen | 6% | — | $2K | $12K |
| Peter G. Schultz | 6% | — | $2K | $12K |
| Takuzo Aida | 6% | — | $102 | $12K |
| Makoto Fujita | 6% | — | $80 | $12K |
| Krzysztof Matyjaszewski | 6% | — | $2K | $12K |
| Jin-Quan Yu | 6% | — | $3K | $12K |
| Craig Crews | 6% | — | $40 | $12K |
| JoAnne Stubbe | 5% | — | $325 | $12K |
| Stephen Lippard | 5% | — | $4K | $12K |
| Henry Snaith | 5% | — | $3K | $12K |
| John Kasianowicz | 5% | — | $280 | $12K |
| Michael Grätzel | 4% | — | $354 | $12K |
| Jean-Marie Tarascon | 4% | — | $131 | $12K |
| Jens Nørskov | 4% | — | $60 | $12K |
| Hiroaki Suga | 4% | — | $2K | $12K |
| Clifford Brangwynne | 4% | — | $280 | $12K |
| Kazunari Domen | 4% | — | $3K | $12K |
| Zhenan Bao | 3% | — | $462 | $12K |
How it settles
The Nobel Prize in Chemistry is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry is scheduled to be announced on October 7, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them. If the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.