What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.0600

Closes Sep 14, 2026 (3d) 24h volume 18.0K Open interest 19.2K Event US gas prices this week

98%

implied YES probability

-0.5pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 99% · Low 94%

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 98.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.