What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 25K

chance of YES3%

Price range (120d)

1–9%

24h volume

202

$1 contracts

Open interest

817

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.