What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above $100.50

chance of YES50%

Price range (19h)

5–84%

24h volume

3.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 19h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.