What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above $102

chance of YES50%

Price range (22h)

2–25%

24h volume

807

$1 contracts

Open interest

781

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 22h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.