What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 25, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Flávio Bolsonaro

Closes Oct 25, 2027 (402d) 24h volume 4.1K Open interest 403.3K Event Brazil Presidential election winner?

56%

implied YES probability

+0.5pp 24h

Last 88 days · High 56% · Low 24% · 7d +5.7pp · 30d +75.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 52.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.