kalshi
Elections
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
66%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 69% ·
Low 36%
· 7d +8.1pp
· 30d +6.3pp
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
-
Lula’s Lead Over Bolsonaro Narrows in Brazil Election Poll
Bloomberg Politics · 7h ago
-
Flavio Bolsonaro closes in on Lula in Nexus/BTG poll for Brazil election
Investing.com · 7h ago
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65.0¢ | 273 | 66.0¢ | 95 | |
| 64.0¢ | 2425 | 67.0¢ | 2016 | |
| 63.0¢ | 34 | 68.0¢ | 318 | |
| 62.0¢ | 512 | 70.0¢ | 20 | |
| 61.0¢ | 14 | 71.0¢ | 245 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 65.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.