kalshi
Elections
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
53%
implied YES probability
+2.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 89 days ·
High 54% ·
Low 33%
· 7d +20.9pp
· 30d +13.0pp
Other outcomes in this event
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.0¢ | 1068 | 47.0¢ | 5000 | |
| 45.0¢ | 5499 | 48.0¢ | 1000 | |
| 44.0¢ | 665 | 49.0¢ | 697 | |
| 43.0¢ | 5700 | 50.0¢ | 1000 | |
| 41.0¢ | 1001 | 51.0¢ | 51 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 46.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.