What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above $6.78

Settles Oct 06, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Copper price on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

chance of YES50% -5.0pp in 24h

Price range (22h)

1–6%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 22h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.