What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 2.5%

Closes Sep 11, 2026 (21d) 24h volume 300 Open interest 336 Event Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

6%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 71% · Low 11% · 7d -84.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.