What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 11%, implying a 11% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

230-233

Closes Feb 01, 2027 (229d) 24h volume 2.2K Open interest 30.9K Event How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

11%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 49 days · High 52% · Low 7% · 7d +50.0pp · 30d +33.3pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.