What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

238-241

Closes Feb 01, 2027 (136d) 24h volume 19.5K Open interest 79.8K Event How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

10%

implied YES probability

Last 65 days · High 11% · Low 8% · 7d +6.4pp · 30d -9.1pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 10.5¢

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.