What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

238-241

Closes Feb 01, 2027 (229d) 24h volume 2.4K Open interest 24.9K Event How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

10%

implied YES probability

+1.5pp 24h

Last 68 days · High 19% · Low 4% · 7d +18.8pp · 30d -32.1pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.