What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above $6.22

Closes Sep 21, 2026 (4d) 24h volume 2.6K Open interest 3.1K Event Diesel prices this week

98%

implied YES probability

+31.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 99% · Low 68%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.