What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Closes Feb 01, 2027 (229d) 24h volume 1.7K Open interest 79.3K Event How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

implied YES probability

Last 66 days · High 7% · Low 3% · 7d -8.7pp · 30d +28.6pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.