What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Above 52

Closes Feb 01, 2027 (229d) 24h volume 270 Open interest 236.7K Event How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

20%

implied YES probability

Last 91 days · High 29% · Low 20% · 7d -4.8pp · 30d -4.8pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 22.5¢

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.