What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 31%, implying a 31% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0

Closes Sep 16, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 9.3K Open interest 45.2K Event September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents

31%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 32 days · High 39% · Low 8% · 7d +225.0pp · 30d +143.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.