What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Kevin Warsh

Closes Sep 16, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 8.7K Open interest 18.2K Event Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting?

2%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 16 days · High 6% · Low 1% · 7d +400.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.