What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 72%, implying a 72% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Independent / Independence

Closes Sep 17, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 43 Open interest 21 Event What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?

72%

implied YES probability

+77.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 85% · Low 85%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.