What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 58%, implying a 58% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Oil

Closes Sep 17, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 3.4K Open interest 5.6K Event What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?

58%

implied YES probability

+8.0pp 24h

Last 39 days · High 60% · Low 41% · 7d +22.4pp · 30d +33.3pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.