What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

QT / Quantitative Tightening

Closes Sep 17, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 1.2K Open interest 1.2K Event What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?

6%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 17% · Low 7% · 7d -41.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.