kalshi Elections

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?

Byron Donalds
Closes Nov 03, 2026 (91d) 24h volume 96.2K Open interest 1.2M Event Florida Republican Governor nominee?
97%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 98% · Low 86% · 7d +0.2pp · 30d +1.7pp
98%86%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently indicating a high likelihood that Byron Donalds will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida, with a YES price of 0.97. This suggests that market participants believe there is a strong possibility that Donalds will emerge as the nominee. The current price is based on known facts such as Donalds' political experience and reputation within the Republican party. Any development that strengthens Donald's position or weakens those of his opponents could drive the YES price higher, while news that challenges Donald's candidacy or increases competition for the nomination could cause the price to decline. The market will close on November 3rd, 2026 at 15:00:00Z, providing a final opportunity for participants to adjust their positions before the outcome is known.
Generated Jul 29, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
97.1¢ 28068 97.2¢ 1025
97.0¢ 50113 97.4¢ 1899
96.9¢ 1905 97.8¢ 500
96.7¢ 2000 98.0¢ 550
96.6¢ 3902 98.1¢ 1000
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 97.2¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.