kalshi Elections

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?

James Fishback
Closes Nov 03, 2026 (91d) 24h volume 356.5K Open interest 6.0M Event Florida Republican Governor nominee?
3%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 11% · Low 2% · 7d +31.8pp · 30d -49.1pp
11%2%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently pricing James Fishback as a 3% chance to become the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida. This assessment is informed by known facts such as Fishback's current standing within the party and his campaign's progress thus far. The market is not reflecting any significant external factors that would drastically alter the probability of his nomination at this time. A change in the political landscape, such as a shift in voter sentiment or a major endorsement, could potentially impact the price, with an increase in Fishback's chances leading to a rise in the YES price and a decrease in his chances resulting in a decline.
Generated Jul 30, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
2.6¢ 1050 2.7¢ 4601
2.3¢ 24 2.8¢ 14024
2.2¢ 500 2.9¢ 83624
2.1¢ 3021 3.0¢ 171680
2.0¢ 4650 3.2¢ 46854
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 2.6¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.