What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

James Fishback

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 69.0K Open interest 2.2M Event Florida Republican Governor nominee?

implied YES probability

Last 90 days · High 14% · Low 5% · 7d -28.2pp · 30d -35.1pp

Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 6.3¢

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.