kalshi
Elections
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?
James Fishback
3%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 11% ·
Low 2%
· 7d +31.8pp
· 30d -49.1pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing James Fishback as a 3% chance to become the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida. This assessment is informed by known facts such as Fishback's current standing within the party and his campaign's progress thus far. The market is not reflecting any significant external factors that would drastically alter the probability of his nomination at this time. A change in the political landscape, such as a shift in voter sentiment or a major endorsement, could potentially impact the price, with an increase in Fishback's chances leading to a rise in the YES price and a decrease in his chances resulting in a decline.
Generated Jul 30, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6¢ | 1050 | 2.7¢ | 4601 | |
| 2.3¢ | 24 | 2.8¢ | 14024 | |
| 2.2¢ | 500 | 2.9¢ | 83624 | |
| 2.1¢ | 3021 | 3.0¢ | 171680 | |
| 2.0¢ | 4650 | 3.2¢ | 46854 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 2.6¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.