kalshi
Elections
Will John James be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?
John James
95%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 95% ·
Low 30%
· 7d +3.3pp
· 30d +9.2pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing John James as the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan at an 84% probability, with a YES price of 0.83. This assessment is informed by known facts such as John James' strong political background and his previous run for Senate in Michigan. The current price reflects the collective opinion of market participants that he is a leading contender for the nomination. Any development that increases John James' chances of securing the Republican nomination, such as endorsements or significant fundraising efforts, could drive the YES price higher. Conversely, news that challenges his candidacy or highlights alternative contenders could cause the price to decline. The market will close on November 3rd, 2026, at 15:00:00Z, providing a final snapshot of the collective sentiment surrounding John James' chances of becoming the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan.
Generated Jul 21, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.0¢ | 2 | 95.1¢ | 1250 | |
| 94.9¢ | 25 | 95.4¢ | 200 | |
| 94.8¢ | 1746 | 96.0¢ | 170 | |
| 94.7¢ | 2500 | 97.4¢ | 13 | |
| 94.4¢ | 102 | 97.5¢ | 5 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 95.0¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.