kalshi
Elections
Will Perry Johnson be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?
Perry Johnson
6%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 82 days ·
High 68% ·
Low 5%
· 7d -38.5pp
· 30d -50.8pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing Perry Johnson as a relatively unlikely candidate to become the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan, with a YES price of 0.08 indicating an approximately 8% probability. This assessment is informed by known facts such as Johnson's relative lack of experience and visibility within the state's political circles compared to other potential candidates. The current price does not reflect any significant external factors that would currently impact the likelihood of Johnson securing the nomination, but changes in his campaign's momentum or the emergence of new challengers could potentially influence the market's assessment. As the event approaches, further developments and announcements from Johnson's campaign may cause the YES price to fluctuate accordingly.
Generated Jul 29, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.4¢ | 11 | 6.1¢ | 1250 | |
| 5.3¢ | 28 | 6.8¢ | 210 | |
| 5.2¢ | 31 | 6.9¢ | 272 | |
| 5.1¢ | 1250 | 7.0¢ | 2170 | |
| 5.0¢ | 170 | 8.0¢ | 2000 |
Spread 0.7¢ · Mid 5.8¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.