kalshi Elections

Will Perry Johnson be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?

Perry Johnson
Closes Nov 03, 2026 (91d) 24h volume 32.1K Open interest 297.2K Event Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
6%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 82 days · High 68% · Low 5% · 7d -38.5pp · 30d -50.8pp
68%5%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently pricing Perry Johnson as a relatively unlikely candidate to become the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan, with a YES price of 0.08 indicating an approximately 8% probability. This assessment is informed by known facts such as Johnson's relative lack of experience and visibility within the state's political circles compared to other potential candidates. The current price does not reflect any significant external factors that would currently impact the likelihood of Johnson securing the nomination, but changes in his campaign's momentum or the emergence of new challengers could potentially influence the market's assessment. As the event approaches, further developments and announcements from Johnson's campaign may cause the YES price to fluctuate accordingly.
Generated Jul 29, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
5.4¢ 11 6.1¢ 1250
5.3¢ 28 6.8¢ 210
5.2¢ 31 6.9¢ 272
5.1¢ 1250 7.0¢ 2170
5.0¢ 170 8.0¢ 2000
Spread 0.7¢ · Mid 5.8¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.