What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Himari Sato

Settles Oct 23, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Sato vs Kitahara

chance of YES100%

Price range (11h)

12–99%

24h volume

1.6M

$1 contracts

Open interest

679.2K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$352K

71% on YES

hourly, 11h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 8, 11:56 PM ET	YES	99¢	11,778	$12K
Oct 8, 11:56 PM ET	YES	98¢	3,458	$3K
Oct 8, 11:56 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,844	$2K
Oct 8, 11:56 PM ET	YES	94¢	1,735	$2K
Oct 8, 11:56 PM ET	YES	93¢	6,171	$6K
Oct 8, 11:55 PM ET	YES	93¢	1,337	$1K
Oct 8, 11:55 PM ET	YES	93¢	5,092	$5K
Oct 8, 11:55 PM ET	YES	93¢	3,210	$3K
Oct 8, 11:55 PM ET	YES	93¢	2,543	$2K
Oct 8, 11:55 PM ET	YES	93¢	4,910	$5K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.