What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 88%, implying a 88% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 10, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 3.48 million

Closes Mar 10, 2027 (174d) 24h volume 100 Open interest 3.1K Event Lemonade total customers in Q3

88%

implied YES probability

+5.5pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 89% · Low 59%

LMND Lemonade, Inc.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.