kalshi
Elections
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
Karen Bass
62%
implied YES probability
-0.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 80% ·
Low 25%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d +1.6pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the Los Angeles Mayoral Election is currently indicating a 62% probability that one candidate will emerge victorious. This assessment is based on known facts such as the candidates' current polling numbers and campaign momentum. The market's price has not been significantly impacted by recent developments, suggesting that the outcome remains uncertain. A shift in public opinion or a major endorsement could potentially drive the YES price up if it favors one candidate over another. Conversely, a scandal or controversy surrounding one of the candidates could cause the price to decline. As the election approaches and more information becomes available, the market's assessment may evolve accordingly.
Generated Jul 30, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.0¢ | 14313 | 62.0¢ | 97514 | |
| 60.0¢ | 14515 | 63.0¢ | 280619 | |
| 59.0¢ | 55416 | 64.0¢ | 82664 | |
| 58.0¢ | 2734 | 65.0¢ | 558 | |
| 57.0¢ | 320515 | 66.0¢ | 25704 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 61.5¢
Trade on Kalshi
Open on Kalshi
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.