kalshi Elections

Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

Karen Bass
Closes Jun 02, 2027 (302d) 24h volume 495.3K Open interest 3.9M Event Los Angeles Mayor winner?
62%
implied YES probability
-0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 80% · Low 25% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d +1.6pp
80%25%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for the Los Angeles Mayoral Election is currently indicating a 62% probability that one candidate will emerge victorious. This assessment is based on known facts such as the candidates' current polling numbers and campaign momentum. The market's price has not been significantly impacted by recent developments, suggesting that the outcome remains uncertain. A shift in public opinion or a major endorsement could potentially drive the YES price up if it favors one candidate over another. Conversely, a scandal or controversy surrounding one of the candidates could cause the price to decline. As the election approaches and more information becomes available, the market's assessment may evolve accordingly.
Generated Jul 30, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
61.0¢ 14313 62.0¢ 97514
60.0¢ 14515 63.0¢ 280619
59.0¢ 55416 64.0¢ 82664
58.0¢ 2734 65.0¢ 558
57.0¢ 320515 66.0¢ 25704
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 61.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.