kalshi Elections

Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

Nithya Raman
Closes Jun 02, 2027 (302d) 24h volume 311.3K Open interest 4.7M Event Los Angeles Mayor winner?
38%
implied YES probability
+0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 54% · Low 5% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d +2.7pp
54%5%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for the Los Angeles Mayoral Election is currently pricing in a 38% probability of a specific candidate winning. This assessment is informed by known facts such as campaign momentum, polling data, and endorsements received by each contender. The current price does not reflect any speculative or emotional factors, but rather a calculated expectation based on available information. Any significant changes to the campaign landscape, such as a major endorsement or a shift in public opinion, could cause the YES price to move up or down. As the election date approaches and more data becomes available, the market's assessment of the probability of a specific candidate winning may adjust accordingly. The current closing time for this market is set for June 2nd, 2027 at 14:00:00Z.
Generated Jul 30, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
38.0¢ 63012 39.0¢ 63571
37.0¢ 279978 40.0¢ 76521
36.0¢ 141532 41.0¢ 37756
35.0¢ 393 42.0¢ 22545
34.0¢ 25000 43.0¢ 322868
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 38.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.