kalshi
Elections
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
Nithya Raman
38%
implied YES probability
+0.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 54% ·
Low 5%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d +2.7pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the Los Angeles Mayoral Election is currently pricing in a 38% probability of a specific candidate winning. This assessment is informed by known facts such as campaign momentum, polling data, and endorsements received by each contender. The current price does not reflect any speculative or emotional factors, but rather a calculated expectation based on available information. Any significant changes to the campaign landscape, such as a major endorsement or a shift in public opinion, could cause the YES price to move up or down. As the election date approaches and more data becomes available, the market's assessment of the probability of a specific candidate winning may adjust accordingly. The current closing time for this market is set for June 2nd, 2027 at 14:00:00Z.
Generated Jul 30, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.0¢ | 63012 | 39.0¢ | 63571 | |
| 37.0¢ | 279978 | 40.0¢ | 76521 | |
| 36.0¢ | 141532 | 41.0¢ | 37756 | |
| 35.0¢ | 393 | 42.0¢ | 22545 | |
| 34.0¢ | 25000 | 43.0¢ | 322868 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 38.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.