What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 54%, implying a 54% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 96

Settles Oct 08, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: McDonald's Foot Traffic in September

chance of YES54%

Price range (120d)

85–99%

· 7d +9 pts

24h volume

1.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.